UEFA Cup leans and input request

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Please correct me if you have reasons to believe the following conclusions are incorrect:

CSK Moscow -125 vs Auxerre +285 Draw +225 2 1/2 under -167

1st half lines CSK +125 Auxerre +300 Draw +115

1st to score CSK pk-200 Auxerre pk+125

1. I see CSK Moscow winning 1 - 0, 2 - 0, or at worst a draw of 1 - 1...
2. Based on #1, I see 2 goals or less in this match...
3. I see CSK scoring the 1st goal...
4. CSK will either win the 1st half or it will be a 0 - 0 draw...



Austria Vienna +115 vs Parma +185 Draw +225 2 1/2 under -181

1st half lines Austria +125 Parma +225 Draw +100

1st to score Austria pk-165 Parma pk+105

1. I see Austria winning a close match or Parma pulling off the draw....
2. I see 2 goals or less in this match...
3. Only lean I have is 1st half draw...


Newcastle -125 vs Sporting +285 Draw +225 2 1/2 under -125

1st half lines Newcastle +130 Sporting +285 Draw +110

1st to score Newcastle pk -200 Sporting pk+125

1. I see scoring from both sides in this match, especially if Newcastle tries
to open it up offensively. Favor Newcastle to win...
2. I see 3 or more goals in this match...
3. Newcastle would be 1st to score....
4. No lean on the 1st half outcome although +285 on Sporting is tempting...


Villareal -175 vs AZ Alkmaar +400 Draw +250

1st half lines Villareal -111 Alkmaar +425 Draw +125

1st to score Villareal pk-250 Alkmaar pk+150

1. I see Villareal winning this match handily (by 2 goals)....
2. I see 3 or more goals in this match....
3. I see Villareal winning the 1st half....
4. I see Villareal scoring 1st....


Well, by now you can see where I am headed with this. If you disagree with any of my conclusions, please comment on why.

Also, If you see one or two of these plays as being VERY STRONG, please let me know that as well. I am looking to whittle this down to a few solid plays and would appreciate all help -- need to get back to some winning ways and see some great potential with these lines.

The only play I have made so far is a four team parlay of the following:

CSK/Aux under 3 goals, Austria/Parma under 3 goals, Newcastle/Sporting over 2 goals and Villa/AZ ALk over 2 goals -- I can buy goals at my one book and this pays 2.4 to 1. Couldnt pass it up as I expect lines to change tomorrow.

Thanks in advance to all for the read and your input -- let's cash tomorrow!!!
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